Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000993 0.001043 0.001094 0.001150 0.001210 0.001272 0.001341
2025-08-03 0.000918 0.000991 0.001068 0.001155 0.001252 0.001356 0.001478
2025-08-10 0.000856 0.000944 0.001039 0.001150 0.001277 0.001419 0.001588
2025-08-17 0.000795 0.000891 0.000998 0.001125 0.001274 0.001445 0.001655
2025-08-24 0.000750 0.000853 0.000969 0.001110 0.001280 0.001477 0.001728
2025-08-31 0.000721 0.000830 0.000955 0.001110 0.001301 0.001528 0.001822
2025-09-07 0.000688 0.000801 0.000932 0.001098 0.001305 0.001556 0.001889
2025-09-14 0.000661 0.000777 0.000914 0.001090 0.001312 0.001586 0.001958
2025-09-21 0.000636 0.000754 0.000895 0.001079 0.001315 0.001611 0.002020
2025-09-28 0.000611 0.000730 0.000875 0.001065 0.001312 0.001628 0.002070
2025-10-05 0.000582 0.000701 0.000846 0.001039 0.001292 0.001621 0.002087
2025-10-12 0.000565 0.000685 0.000833 0.001033 0.001298 0.001646 0.002150
2025-10-19 0.000551 0.000674 0.000827 0.001036 0.001319 0.001695 0.002251
2025-10-26 0.000540 0.000667 0.000827 0.001047 0.001349 0.001760 0.002378
2025-11-02 0.000525 0.000654 0.000817 0.001045 0.001362 0.001800 0.002471
2025-11-09 0.000504 0.000631 0.000794 0.001023 0.001347 0.001799 0.002504
2025-11-16 0.000487 0.000613 0.000777 0.001011 0.001343 0.001813 0.002560
2025-11-23 0.000476 0.000604 0.000771 0.001011 0.001357 0.001855 0.002659
2025-11-30 0.000462 0.000589 0.000757 0.001000 0.001355 0.001872 0.002720
2025-12-07 0.000449 0.000576 0.000745 0.000993 0.001357 0.001895 0.002790
2025-12-14 0.000437 0.000564 0.000733 0.000983 0.001356 0.001912 0.002853
2025-12-21 0.000424 0.000550 0.000719 0.000971 0.001349 0.001921 0.002901
2025-12-28 0.000408 0.000531 0.000698 0.000948 0.001326 0.001902 0.002901